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Conference adopts parallel assumptions for Purple Heart toll exemption; staff to return revised analysis


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Conference adopts parallel assumptions for Purple Heart toll exemption; staff to return revised analysis
The conference reviewed a proposal to exempt tolls for vehicles carrying Purple Heart license plates. Jesse Atkinson and other EDR staff presented a spreadsheet that mirrored the disabled‑veteran analysis but used Purple Heart plate counts as the starting universe.

Nut graf: Unlike the disabled‑veteran proposal, the Purple Heart bill points to the license plate rather than the veteran. Analysts therefore used tag counts (Purple Heart plate counts) as the base and presented identical ramp and participation assumptions to the disabled‑veteran analysis, with an adopted ramp of 85% the first year, 90% the second year and 95% thereafter, then a flat long‑run estimate.

EDR noted that Purple Heart plate counts have declined in recent years (consistent with the age composition of Purple Heart recipients), but the conference discussed the potential for plate counts to grow if recipients who had not previously obtained the plate did so to obtain the toll exemption. Conference members agreed to a conservative approach for long‑run estimates: apply a short ramp‑up to 95% participation and then hold the estimate flat thereafter rather than grow it by population. Members directed EDR to show the senate bill number (where applicable) and to return a revised write‑up reflecting the adopted assumptions; the transcript records the conference directing staff to re‑submit the item with the changes and then to post the item once everyone confirms the revisions.

Ending: EDR will prepare a revised analysis that uses Purple Heart tag counts as the base, applies the 85/90/95 ramp, sets out‑of‑state impacts to 0 and uses a flat long‑run estimate; the conference recorded adoption of those assumptions for the published note.

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