Wilsonville's economic future is at a crossroads, as city planners grapple with significant trends that could shape the local job market and development landscape. During the Planning Commission meeting on July 9, 2025, officials highlighted a slowing labor force growth and an aging population, raising concerns about job growth and workforce availability in the coming years.

The meeting underscored the dual challenges and opportunities presented by increasing automation and artificial intelligence, which are transforming job roles across various sectors. While routine jobs may decline, there is a growing demand for positions that combine soft skills with analytical capabilities. This shift emphasizes the need for a workforce that can adapt to changing job requirements.

Economic uncertainties, including tariffs and inflation fears, were also discussed. Wilsonville's reliance on manufacturing and logistics makes it particularly vulnerable to trade disruptions. Immigration restrictions could exacerbate labor shortages, especially in construction, a key employment sector in the city. These factors could slow development and drive up costs, impacting areas like Basalt Creek and Town Center.

The meeting also addressed the commercial and industrial real estate markets, noting that high interest rates and construction costs are limiting development feasibility. While the industrial sector remains strong, the availability of development-ready land is a significant constraint. The city is also facing challenges related to climate change, which could strain infrastructure and reduce productivity in outdoor sectors.

Commuting patterns were highlighted as an essential aspect of Wilsonville's economy, with a significant portion of the workforce commuting from surrounding areas. This regional connectivity positions Wilsonville as a strategic hub for businesses.

Looking ahead, the city is evaluating various employment growth scenarios for the next two decades, with estimates ranging from 2,900 to over 9,100 new jobs, depending on the growth rate adopted. The Planning Commission is seeking input on these forecasts and the economic inventory, aiming to align future planning with realistic growth expectations.

As Wilsonville navigates these complex economic dynamics, the decisions made in the coming months will be crucial in shaping the city’s development and workforce strategies. The next steps include presenting findings to the City Council on August 4, followed by stakeholder engagement to refine the employment forecast and land sufficiency analysis.