Demographer Lila Valencia presents latest Austin population trends to city commission

The Airport Advisory Commission meeting held on July 9, 2025, featured a presentation by Lila Valencia, the City of Austin's demographer, who provided an update on the city's demographic trends and population changes. Valencia, who has been in her role for over four years, highlighted significant shifts in population dynamics since her last presentation in March 2022.

Valencia reported that Austin had recently dropped to the thirteenth largest city in the United States, with the Austin Metro Area now ranking as the fourth fastest-growing region in the country. Despite adding approximately 58,000 residents in the past year, the growth rate has slowed compared to other Texas cities, such as Dallas and Houston. Many new residents are settling in suburban areas rather than the city itself.

A notable trend discussed was the decline in domestic migration, particularly from other states and within Texas. In 2023, Travis County experienced negative out-migration, meaning more people left the county than moved in. This trend reversed in 2024, with positive net migration attributed solely to international arrivals. Valencia emphasized that the only factor maintaining positive growth in the area is international migration, as domestic migration has not kept pace.

The discussion also touched on economic factors influencing migration patterns. Valencia noted that while Austin's economy remains strong, job growth, particularly in the information sector, has stagnated. This decline in job opportunities has contributed to the slower influx of domestic migrants. Additionally, affordability issues have emerged as a significant barrier, with rising costs pushing current residents to leave and deterring potential newcomers.

Valencia concluded her presentation by emphasizing the need to understand these demographic changes and their implications for the city. The meeting encouraged further discussion among commissioners to explore these trends and their potential impact on Austin's future growth and development.