Experts disagree on timeline for mitigating catastrophic risks of AI technology

May 27, 2025 | California State Assembly, House, Legislative, California


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Experts disagree on timeline for mitigating catastrophic risks of AI technology
Disagreement over the timeline for achieving human-level artificial intelligence (AI) dominated discussions at the recent Assembly Privacy and Consumer Protection Committee meeting in California. Experts expressed contrasting views on the potential risks and readiness of society to handle these advancements.

One prominent researcher highlighted a significant divide among scientists regarding how soon human-level AI might be realized. While some believe that substantial obstacles remain, pushing the timeline back by many years, others argue that current data trends suggest a quicker arrival. "We don't have a guarantee that the trend will continue," the researcher noted, emphasizing the uncertainty surrounding the future of AI development.

The implications of this disagreement are profound. The researcher warned that regardless of the timeline, society is not adequately prepared for the rapid advancements that could occur. "We're not prepared in many different ways scientifically and in terms of public policy," they stated, underscoring the urgent need for proactive measures.

Another layer of complexity arises from differing beliefs about corporate responsibility. Some participants expressed confidence that market forces would compel companies to act ethically, even in the face of potential risks associated with AI. This belief, however, raises questions about the adequacy of relying on corporate self-regulation in a rapidly evolving technological landscape.

As the debate continues, the committee's discussions signal a critical moment for policymakers to consider the implications of AI advancements and the necessity for comprehensive strategies to mitigate risks. The path forward remains uncertain, but the urgency for preparedness is clear.

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