Meteorologist discusses La Nina's impact on New England's winter 2024 forecast

November 25, 2024 | Town of Falmouth, Barnstable County, Massachusetts


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Meteorologist discusses La Nina's impact on New England's winter 2024 forecast
The Falmouth Local Emergency Planning Committee meeting on October 24, 2024, highlighted critical weather patterns and their implications for the upcoming winter season. With the tropical cyclone season winding down, discussions turned to the potential impacts of La Niña on New England's weather.

Experts noted that while the region has historically avoided major tropical cyclones post-September, the unpredictability of winter storms remains a concern. The committee emphasized the importance of preparing for sudden weather changes, especially around Halloween, a time historically marked by severe storms.

The conversation shifted to the influence of La Niña, characterized by cooler ocean temperatures and variable jet stream patterns. This phenomenon can lead to warmer and potentially wetter conditions in New England, with the jet stream's position playing a crucial role in determining storm activity. The committee warned that while La Niña might suggest a milder winter, it could also bring unexpected severe weather, as seen in previous years.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) outlook was discussed, indicating a 64% accuracy in predictions. The committee urged caution, noting that while precipitation could be variable, the potential for significant storms remains. The polar vortex's role in trapping cold air was also highlighted, with its strength influencing the jet stream's behavior.

As the meeting concluded, members stressed the need for ongoing vigilance and preparedness as the winter season approaches, underscoring the unpredictable nature of New England weather.

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