Puerto Rico's elderly population set to reach 39.8 percent by 2050

Puerto Rico is facing a significant demographic shift, with projections indicating a rapid increase in its aging population over the next decade. This trend mirrors a global phenomenon, driven by rising life expectancy and declining birth rates. According to the World Health Organization, the percentage of the global population aged 60 and older is expected to nearly double from 12% to 22% between 2015 and 2050.

In Puerto Rico, statistics from 2020 revealed that 28.5% of the population were seniors, with life expectancy anticipated to rise to 81.3 years. Projections suggest that by 2030, individuals aged 60 and above will make up 35% of the population, increasing to 38.1% by 2040 and 39.8% by 2050, based on data from the U.S. Census Bureau.

The increase in the elderly population is linked to demographic changes, including birth rates, mortality, and migration patterns. Following Hurricane Maria, there was a notable migration of working-age adults to the mainland United States, leaving behind a higher proportion of older residents. This shift has contributed to a more impoverished and aging Puerto Rico.

Recent data indicates that in 2023, around 34 municipalities in Puerto Rico saw their population of individuals aged 65 and older double compared to those under 15. This demographic change has resulted in a 25% increase in the aging index, rising from 158.4 to 198.6.

As Puerto Rico grapples with these challenges, the implications for healthcare, social services, and economic stability are profound, necessitating urgent attention from policymakers and community leaders.