Tim Osborne leads team on innovative surge tide forecasting model for Louisiana levees

March 19, 2025 | Joint Committee Meetings, HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES, Committees, Legislative, Louisiana


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Tim Osborne leads team on innovative surge tide forecasting model for Louisiana levees
A new modeling system, known as the Surge Tide Operational Forecast System (STOFS), is set to revolutionize flood forecasting in Louisiana. Developed by a team led by Tim Osborne, this innovative system integrates federal models with local levee data, providing a more accurate representation of flood risks in the region. Unlike traditional models that often overestimate flooding due to their inability to account for existing flood protection systems, STOFS successfully demonstrated its effectiveness by accurately predicting the impacts of Hurricane Francine, showing minimal flooding due to the levee systems in place.

This advancement is seen as a significant step forward for Louisiana's flood management efforts, with the potential to apply the model to various levee systems across the state. The collaboration with NOAA and local levee authorities highlights the importance of integrating federal resources with state-level initiatives to enhance community safety.

In addition to the modeling system, the Louisiana Coastal Protection and Restoration Authority (CPRA) announced the 2025 Parish Matching Awards, which will allocate up to $6 million for restoration and resilience projects. This funding aims to support local initiatives that align with the state's coastal master plan, leveraging additional federal, local, and private funding sources. Last year, the program successfully matched $7 million in state funding with nearly $30 million in additional investments, demonstrating a strong return on investment for coastal projects.

The CPRA's commitment to fostering collaboration with coastal parishes is crucial for advancing local priorities while addressing broader environmental challenges. As these initiatives move forward, they promise to enhance Louisiana's resilience against flooding and support sustainable coastal development.

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