In a recent government meeting, concerns were raised regarding the intersection of artificial intelligence, gain-of-function research, and the potential risks posed by high-fatality viruses. Experts highlighted that countries such as China, Russia, and Iran are reportedly experimenting with viruses that have alarming infection fatality rates, including Ebola and dengue, which could lead to catastrophic outcomes if such pathogens were to escape or be intentionally released.
The discussion emphasized the societal implications of a highly infectious and deadly virus, drawing parallels to the COVID-19 pandemic. Participants warned that a virus with a mortality rate similar to smallpox, which is around 30%, could lead to widespread panic, disruption of food production, and a breakdown of societal functions. The fear generated by such a health crisis could undermine civil liberties and critical thinking among the population, as seen during the COVID-19 pandemic.
Experts pointed out the alarming accessibility of viral components, suggesting that individuals with the right knowledge could potentially synthesize dangerous viruses, including polio and smallpox, in a laboratory setting. This raises significant biosecurity concerns, as estimates indicate that tens of thousands of qualified technicians could have the capability to create these pathogens.
The meeting also touched on the ongoing debate surrounding gain-of-function research, which has been a contentious topic for over a decade, initially sparked by concerns over avian flu. Prominent scientists, including Richard E. Bright, have long warned about the dangers associated with manipulating viruses, underscoring the urgent need for stringent regulations and oversight in this field to prevent potential disasters.