In a recent government meeting, city officials and consultants presented a comprehensive study on Newport News' housing inventory, revealing critical insights into the city's demographic trends and housing needs. The study, led by Urban Partners, highlighted that Newport News is not keeping pace with regional population growth, experiencing only a modest increase of 3.1% from 2010 to 2020. Projections indicate a further increase of approximately 6,000 residents by 2050, but the city has faced net negative household migration between 2017 and 2021, suggesting ongoing challenges in retaining residents.
Isaac Kwan, principal at Urban Partners, emphasized that while the city has opportunities to expand its housing market, it will require the construction of 21,000 new housing units by 2050 to accommodate growth and replace aging stock. The study also pointed out that Newport News has a significant workforce of 100,000 civilian workers, presenting an immediate opportunity to attract residents to live locally rather than in surrounding areas.
However, the report raised concerns about housing affordability, noting that while Newport News offers relatively affordable housing compared to national averages, residents' incomes are not keeping pace. Approximately 25% of rental units in the city are income-restricted, which is disproportionately high given that Newport News comprises only 13% of the region's population but holds 22% of the region's income-restricted housing supply. The consultants cautioned that simply increasing the number of income-restricted units may not resolve the affordability crisis, as it could attract more individuals from outside the city, exacerbating the issue.
The findings underscore the need for a balanced approach to housing development, combining market-rate housing with strategies to ensure that local residents can afford to live in Newport News as job growth continues. The city is urged to consider these recommendations to effectively address both short-term and long-term housing needs.