In a recent government meeting, officials presented the first draft of the 2025 state legislative agenda, highlighting significant political shifts and budgetary challenges anticipated in the upcoming session. Virginia Cleff, the legislative policy coordinator, along with state lobbyist Brianna Murray, outlined the agenda and sought feedback from the council on capital budget options, transportation projects, and policy statements.

Murray emphasized the importance of the November general election, which will determine new leadership in key positions, including governor, attorney general, and commissioner for public lands. With up to 30% of the legislature expected to be newly elected, the political landscape may shift, although current forecasts suggest that Democrats will likely maintain their majority in both chambers. Notably, there is potential for a supermajority in one or both chambers, which could impact future bipartisan requirements for bond votes supporting the capital budget.

The meeting also addressed four initiatives set to appear on the ballot, including proposals to repeal the Climate Commitment Act and a recently imposed capital gains tax. The outcomes of these initiatives could significantly influence the state budget, with fiscal implications outlined for each measure.

Murray further discussed the anticipated legislative turnover and the subsequent reconfiguration of committee leadership and jurisdiction following the elections. The legislative session is scheduled to begin on the second Monday in January and will last for 105 days, focusing on developing a biennial operating capital and transportation budget.

Budget forecasts indicate a constrained funding environment, with a projected revenue decrease of $500 million for the current biennium and significant cost increases for state services. The transportation budget faces even greater challenges, with potential shortfalls exacerbated by the outcome of the Climate Commitment Act. If upheld, the transportation budget could see a shortfall of over $4 billion; if repealed, this figure could triple.

As the council prepares for the upcoming legislative session, the discussions underscore the critical nature of the upcoming elections and the potential ramifications for state governance and fiscal policy.